Posted by: John | October 22, 2008

GOP death list!

A GOP operative has leaked what looks like a pretty genuine `death list` of ten congressional races that they think are definitely falling to the Democrats:

Rating 1″ finds 10 Republicans “likely gone.” Those districts are New York 13, Alaska, Arizona 1, Virginia 11, New York 25, Illinois 11, Florida 24, Michigan 7, Nevada 3, and North Carolina 8.

http://www.usnews.com/blogs/washington-whispers/2008/10/22/gop-death-list-predicts-democratic-blowout-in-the-house.html

I expect the GOP to either madly advertise in these races or simply leave them to fester. It’ll be interesting to see.

Let’s go through the first two:

NY 13 – hardly a surprise and a slight anachronism given that it’s NYC’s only red area (Staten Island) and requires just a 6% swing. The GOP incumbent candidate was arrested for drunk driving not so long ago and is awaiting sentencing! The fact that you can probably see Wall St from one of the houses doesn’t help! More like a Dem Hold and I would have thought an absolute certainty for a gain.

Alaska – I suppose we will never know more about Alaska than in 2008 – it’s not as Republican as people think. The problem the GOP have is CORRUPTION. Ted Stevens the Senatorial candidate is in the dock and in Alaska right now Republicans = sleazy slimeballs.

More to come later.

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Responses

  1. Currently I am living in North Carolina and am undecided which way the state will swing (nb. I am British so have no say in the matter). I live in a sizeable city (Durham) that will almost definitely vote predominantly democrat by the look of it. All the emphasis seems to be towards the deomcrats. The city also has a sizeable African American population (approx 45% White, 44% African American, 9% Hispanic, 2% other) but out in the sticks I originally would have thought it would be mostly republicans – it definitely a huntin’, shootin’, fishin’ kind of place. But when I have been out of the city the support still seems kind of muted. I overheard a guy talking yesterday (you can’t really help, sometimes Americans talk really loudly!) saying that normally he would vote republican but this time round they have just gone to far out – and he himself was a devout Christian. He just saw the stupidity of picking people to govern based on how much they believed in god. So who knows.

    Having said that, there does seem some support for Elizabeth Dole, the republican senate candidate.

    One of the biggest things I have noticed her is that the apathy that you get back in Britain really isn’t shown – everybody talks about the election, and everyone wants to vote. I guess this is a lot to do with the general different psyche of Brits and Yanks!


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